This Week's Lineup
This piece reviews how Thursday night NFL games compare to those on Sunday and Monday. Scoring, team strength, penalties, turnovers, and injuries were reviewed from 2012 through 2020. Spoiler alert, they're not horrible. Details inside.
It's a lot, considering the median NFL quarterback is worth twice as much as the median left tackle, the second-most-valuable position in football. So if a QB is off the board, the next best bet is to take high-value positions and hope they hit. A list of current NFL GMs since 2010 is included to show where they went wrong.
changed how they draft quarterbacks. It might seem that teams are drafting more recently, but part of that is cyclical due to the increasing age of starters. The strategy that has evolved are teams prioritizing QBs with starting potential in round one, letting developmental types fall to the third day, or becoming an undrafted free agent.
Warning, this is a lengthy research paper and gets into all the details of the author's approach in evaluating the impact of observed and potential actions, both visually and analytically. To their knowledge, this is the first EPV approach using and incorporating all 22 players and the ball through tracking data.
With six no-hitters through this point in May, how do they stand up? The author uses the Game Score Version 2.0 to help provide context in how they compare with all 35 no-no's since 2011. It also highlights another approach by using adjusted home/road splits. Turns out that John Means' version was pretty damn good.