Unexpected Points Added

Welcome

62nd issue.

Nice little sampler platter as we have articles for college football, tennis, WNBA, MLB, and soccer. Bon appétit!

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This Week's Lineup

The Binion Index

I like all college football rating systems. Here is another!

The Risk and Reward of Serve Return Positioning

When we look at the elite of the current men's game, there are dramatic differences in return impact patterns. Visualizations abound.

International Players Are Making Their Mark On The WNBA Again

2022 was the second-highest percent of league win shares by international WNBA players since 2013.

(When) Will Albert Pujols Reach 700 Home Runs?

Will Pujols hit a momentous round number of homers before retiring? Ben simulated the season to find out. Best odds are in Los Angeles between 9/23-9/25.

Is xG The Best Predictor of Future Results?

Good article focusing on replicating past analytics findings to validate their results. This one on "the best predictor for future performance is Expected Goals."

What I'm Watching

Sports are busy these days. Here are a few games I'm keeping watch on (okay yes still football):

College:

BYU @ Baylor
Penn State @ Auburn
MSU @ Washington
Miami @ Texas A&M

Pros:

Chargers @ Chiefs (playing as I type this, on Amazon!)
Bears @ Packers
Vikings @ Eagles

Weekly Unexpected Quote

“The quieter you become, the more you can hear.”

Ram Dass

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Unexpected Points Added is curated and maintained by Patrick Hayes.

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