Twentyfirst issue! Last week, I ran out of time trying to finish grad school homework and heading up north, whoopsie.
Two doses from two often used sources. I need more, please send them my way! FiveThirtyEight has released two more prediction models, and FanGraphs reviews their playoff odds and dives into why intentional walks have declined. The caboose this week is a model that predicts NBA shot outcomes.
This Week's Lineup
2021 College Football Predictions
538 finally released their prediction model for the College Football Playoff and conference title odds. Hawkeyes are in the top 4!
2021 NHL Predictions
Next up in the prediction theme is 538's NHL forecast. The puck drops on the 2021-2022 next week already.
FanGraphs Playoff Odds Review
With years of observed data, does FanGraphs' playoff odd projections hold up? They perform a self diagnosis.
Intentional Walk, Where Art Thou?
Intentional Walks in baseball are declining (as are NL pitcher batting averages, just add the DH already). A couple of game states have witnessed an uptick, however.
Predicting NBA Shot Outcomes
I try to include one of these every so often. This one predicts the outcome of shots based on the events and tracking data.
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Unexpected Points Added is curated and maintained by Patrick Hayes. If you have questions or suggestions for the newsletter, just reply to this email. I answer every single one.