Welcome
Self Promotion
I recently created SP K Prediction, which identifies positive expected value in MLB starting pitcher strikeout bets and automatically updates each morning. Additionally, it creates market odds for which pitcher will have the most strikeouts that day based on 10k simulations. Check it out, I think it's rad.
This Week's Lineup
Ohtani to break Judge's Record?
Using ZiPS projections, he has a 5.5% chance of breaking the record. 15% in matching Marris.
Most Consecutive Games With a Home Run
Griffey tied for #1, but with who? Can you guess? Probably a Long shot.
In the 2023 MLB Standings, Money Isn’t Winning. What Does That Tell Us?
Long-form piece reviewing how spending impacts winning. Might be good to buy low on the big spenders after their first-half stumbles.
Baseball Machine Learning Tools
Highlighting the work of some fellow University of Michigan, Master of Applied Data Science students. Take a look at the Strike Zone Explorer tool.
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Unexpected Points Added is curated and maintained by Patrick Hayes.
In August, I am graduating with a Master of Applied Data Science from the University of Michigan, let's connect.
Send me an email with your feedback or question. I respond to every single one.