The seventh issue of Unexpected Points Added. This one calls out Jimmy Johnson's Draft Value Chart, digs into what it takes for a new metric to be adopted, highlights a new Python baseball library, fancy graphics for EURO 2020, and looks into NBA Regular Season blowouts.
Please share your favorite sports analytics source I should review, and I'll come up with a sports analytics acronym based on your name
This Week's Lineup
Jimmy Johnson's Draft Chart is Wrong
An interesting piece that reviews the methodology of "The Chart" and compares it with PFF data to get a better idea of how much value drafting positions actually have.
Adoption Success of New Metrics
Oldie but goodie. How do new statistics gain traction, specifically for baseball? Is there a tipping point for adoption and mainstream use?
New Python Baseball Statistics Library
Pull current and historical baseball statistics using Python from Statcast, Baseball Reference, and FanGraphs.
EURO 2020 Permutations Graphics
Team-specific probability visuals for a chance of reaching certain stages, group finishing position, most likely opponents, and projected points won in group sage. For all 24 teams.
NBA Regular Season Blowouts
Are 40-point blowouts occurring more often? This past season, yes. Roughly one in 81 or 82 games versus 88 or 89 games from last year. Winning margins by 20+ points are also on an upward trajectory.
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Unexpected Points Added is curated and maintained by Patrick Hayes. If you have questions or suggestions for the newsletter, just reply to this email. I answer every single one.