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Home run predictions for the remainder of the 2024 MLB season were made using a Bayesian multilevel model, while the Opta supercomputer highlights top tennis contenders like Djokovic, Swiatek, Alcaraz, Gauff, and Italian doubles pairs for the Paris 2024 Olympics. Basketball and baseball articles discuss visual and statistical analysis improvements, the NBA playoffs' predictors, and a historic proposal to widen MLB foul lines.
This Week's Lineup
Midseason Home Run Predictions
Using a Bayesian multilevel model with a bias component, home run predictions for the remainder of the 2024 season were made, focusing on the number of players hitting 20+, 30+, and 40+ home runs, as well as the leading home run count, by simulating data and comparing predictive performance to previous seasons.
The Case for Widening the MLB Foul Lines
And the forgotten history of an obscure proposal that might finally be ready for its call-up
Tennis at the 2024 Olympics: The Opta Predictions
As the world anticipates the 2024 Paris Olympics, tennis fans eagerly await thrilling matches at Roland Garros, where favorites like Djokovic and Swiatek aim for gold while iconic players Murray and Kerber bid farewell, with Opta supercomputer predictions highlighting Alcaraz, Gauff, and Italian doubles pairs as top contenders.
Some fun basketball graphs
Andrew critiques and appreciates Kirk Goldsberry's basketball graphs for their clarity, suggestive improvements like extended time series and additional data points, while lamenting Goldsberry's shift from statistical visualizations to infographics, which focus more on visual impressions than data patterns.
Playoff Prophecy: Which Regular Season Stats Spell Postseason Glory?
Predicting NBA playoff success based on regular season performance can be challenging due to the differences in playstyle and intensity, but margin of victory and regular season performance emerge as strong predictors, with the study suggesting that effective field goal percentage, fan attendance, and team age are less reliable indicators.
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Unexpected Points Added is curated and maintained by Patrick Hayes.
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