NFL Draft Data Dump! Clustering. Profiling. Value. Grades. Best Available.
Issue One Hundred And Eighty Seven
Welcome
As it was almost immediately pointed out after Tampa Bay was eliminated, they were indeed the Stanley Cup favorite from The Analyst. Whoops! The Red Wings fan in me just hates to see it :)
Issue Summary
AI is diving into the 2025 NFL QB class with clustering, while historical data and modeling are projecting sleepers and busts across multiple positions. Draft value steals and reaches are being identified team by team, and the draft classes themselves are being graded. Plus, a look back at Day 2 history reveals the impact of "Best Available" talent.
Weekly Unexpected Quote
"Championships aren’t won in the first round. They’re won in the fifth."
Bill Polian
This Week's Lineup
K-Means Clustered NFL Draft Prospects
Analyzing the 2025 NFL Draft quarterback class,
employs K-Means clustering to compare prospects to historical players based on college statistics, offering insights into potential NFL trajectories. cfbnumbers.substack.comNFL Draft Projections Using Historical Data And Contextualized AI Modeling With Player Profiling
Leveraging AI and historical data, Kitman Labs offers NFL Draft projections for quarterbacks, running backs, and wide receivers, identifying potential sleepers and highlighting discrepancies between draft hype and metrics predictive of long-term NFL success. sportstechie.net
NFL Team Draft Value Measurement
Reviewing the 2025 NFL Draft, this article identifies potential value steals (players picked later than their PFF ranking) and reaches (players picked earlier), offering a team-by-team analysis of draft board alignment and notable selections. pff.com
2025 SIS NFL Draft Grades
Grades the 2025 NFL Draft classes of all 32 teams based on the scouting evaluations from Sports Info Solutions (SIS), highlighting the Cleveland Browns as having the best draft and the San Francisco 49ers the worst, while also assessing the accuracy of SIS's pre-draft player rankings. sportsinfosolutions.com
The History of “Best Available” on Day 2
explores the value of "Best Available" lists on Day 2 of the NFL Draft by analyzing historical data to see how often these highly-ranked players who slip out of the first round become impactful NFL players, and identifies the top "first-round talent" still available heading into Day 2 of the 2025 draft. wideleft.football Self-Promotion
I am building +EV Bets, which identifies positive expected value (+EV) in the major sports betting markets based on popular prediction models and live betting odds. MLB is active, along with my own starting pitcher strikeout props. Check it out, let me know what you think.
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