MLB Steal Rates. Snap Motion Timing. EuroLeague Rosters. SGA new MJ? SP Breakout.
Issue One Hundred And Eighty Eight
Welcome
Issue Summary
Base stealing in MLB is exploding thanks to rule changes, with runners pushing the limits as defenses adapt, while a deep dive into NFL snap timing variability reveals quarterbacks like Mahomes weaponize unpredictability. Data-driven skill definitions are revolutionizing EuroLeague roster construction, and a statistical comparison is boldly asking if Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's stellar season puts him in the realm of Michael Jordan, while Cardinals pitcher Matthew Liberatore is hinting at a breakout fueled by a Kershaw-esque slider.
Weekly Unexpected Quote
"Things turn out best for the people who make the best of the way things turn out."
John Wooden
This Week's Lineup
The Steals Will Continue Until Success Rates Decline
Stealing bases in MLB is easier than ever due to recent rule changes, leading to a surge in attempts, and while defenses are adjusting, baserunners are still pushing the limits, making for a dynamic and evolving aspect of the game. fangraphs.com
Explaining variability in snap timing on plays with motion
Ever wondered if a quarterback's snap timing with receivers in motion gives their offense an edge?
’s article dives into a fascinating Big Data Bowl project that models snap timing variability, revealing which QBs like Patrick Mahomes have the most unpredictable timing and how this might surprisingly relate to overall passing play success. statthinksportsanalytics.substack.comDecoding EuroLeague Positions - A Data-Driven Approach to Winning Rosters
Forget traditional positions! This data-driven analysis from
of 10 EuroLeague seasons redefines player roles based on actual skills, revealing surprising insights into which new roster structures—emphasizing perimeter threats and three-point shooting—consistently lead to higher winning percentages. sltsportsanalytics.substack.comHave we found the new Michael Jordan?
Is Oklahoma City Thunder's Shai Gilgeous-Alexander the next Michael Jordan? This in-depth statistical comparison from
stacks SGA's impressive 2024-25 season against Jordan's peak, Kobe Bryant, Dwyane Wade, James Harden, and even Anthony Edwards, revealing surprising similarities in impact and efficiency that might just warrant the bold comparison. natesilver.netIs Matthew Liberatore on the Verge of a Breakout?
After a winding journey, Cardinals pitcher Matthew Liberatore is showing signs of a potential breakout in 2025, fueled by a revamped slider reminiscent of Clayton Kershaw and an evolving arsenal like Max Meyer, suggesting he could finally become the consistent starter St. Louis needs. pitcherlist.com
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